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War Blog By: FrontPage Magazine
FrontPageMagazine.com | Monday, November 27, 2006


RANGEL SLURS THE MILITARY

By Charles Johnson

In the ongoing saga of Charlie Rangel’s tortured rationale for a draft, he came out today with one of those offhanded slurs that show how the left really feels about military service: Video: Rangel says men join the army only if they can’t have “a decent career”.

I want to make it abundantly clear: if there’s anyone who believes that these youngsters want to fight, as the Pentagon and some generals have said, you can just forget about it. No young, bright individual wants to fight just because of a bonus and just because of educational benefits. And most all of them come from communities of very, very high unemployment. If a young fella has an option of having a decent career or joining the army to fight in Iraq, you can bet your life that he would not be in Iraq.  Sunday, November 26, 2006

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog

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DEMOCRATS FIGHT

By Daryle Cagle

-MSNBC.com

www.caglecartoons.com

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TURKISH ISLAMISTS DEMONSTRATE AGAINST POPE BENEDICT

By Charles Johnson

Tens of thousands of Islamic supremacists turned out in Istanbul to tell the Pope he’s not welcome in Turkey.

Sunday, November 26, 2006

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog

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DEAL BREAKER

06.11.26.DealBreaker-X.gif

From CNN: 13,000 Palestinian security forces maintain cease-fire

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas on Sunday ordered 13,000 security forces to deploy near the border to enforce a cease-fire agreement with Israel, sources in Abbas' office told CNN.

The move came hours after Palestinian militants in Gaza apparently launched nearly a dozen rockets toward Israel.

Abbas also called on the Palestinian factions who previously negotiated the cease-fire to meet again to ensure the agreement holds, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert told reporters Sunday.

The Israeli leader said his country will not take immediate action in the wake of the violations.

"Israel is a powerful country that can allow itself to show restraint and to give the cease-fire a chance to be fully implemented," Olmert said.

Hamas' militant wing and the Islamic Jihad militant group claimed responsibility for firing several rockets into Israel after the cease-fire took effect at 6 a.m. (11 p.m. ET Sunday).

In its leaflet, Islamic Jihad said it will "hold our right for resistance as long as Israel continues its aggression."  Sunday, November 26, 2006

www.coxandforkum.com

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TRIANGLE OFFENSE RETURNS IN RECORD TIME

By Ed Morrissey

Last night, I noticed that the Israelis had once again agreed to a cease-fire and withdrawal from Gaza, reaching the accord with Hamas and Fatah. The Guardian reported the "hopes for peace" late last night, and I intended on writing a cautionary post about it this morning. Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas had told Ehud Olmert that all factions had agreed to the deal:

Palestinian militants have agreed to stop firing rockets into Israel in return for an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and a halt to targetted killings, it emerged last night.

Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian President, telephoned Ehud Olmert, the Israeli Prime Minister, and told him that all Palestinian factions had agreed to a ceasefire from 6am this morning.

Olmert replied that if there was no rocket fire from Gaza, Israeli forces could stop their operations and begin to withdraw from Gaza. The ceasefire could bring an end to a spate of violence which has seen the death of more than 100 Palestinians in Israeli operations and two Israeli civilians killed by Palestinian rockets within the past month.

I figured I'd wait until the morning to remind everyone that the modus operandi of the Palestinians in the past had two of the three major factions agreeing to cease-fires while one continued to attack Israel. In this way, the Palestinians could be both peacemakers and provocateurs, and let the Israelis suffer the attacks for as long as it took to get them to finally act to end them. At that point, the Palestinians could run to their Western apologists and sob about the mean Israelis who keep violating cease-fire agreements.

Unfortunately for me, the Palestinians couldn't wait for even a day to put their triangle offense into action:

Israeli troops withdrew from the Gaza Strip as a last-minute cease-fire deal took hold Sunday morning, but two major Palestinian militant groups, saying they had no intention of stopping their attacks, fired volleys of homemade rockets into Israel.

The ongoing rocket attacks by Hamas and Islamic Jihad tempered hopes for a lasting truce, which was meant to end five months of deadly clashes. The rockets landed in open fields and caused no injuries.

The USA Today headline mirrors the fecklessness of the entire enterprise. It reads, "Gaza cease-fire takes hold, attacks continue," a headline that practically defines oxymoron for all practical purposes. A cease-fire takes hold when all sides cease firing. If one side keeps firing, then there is no cease fire. One would think that journalists, headline writers, and diplomats would have at one time looked in their Websters for the definitions of cease and fire and have this figured out.

In this case, we have two out of the three major factions violating the agreement before the ink dried on paper. Both factions acknowledge their continuing attacks, Hamas says they'll keep firing rockets at Israeli civilians until the IDF leaves Gaza, and Islamic Jihad says they'll keep going until the IDF leaves the West Bank as well. In other words, there will be no cease fire at all, ever, until the Palestinians agree to the two-state solution or the Palestinians annihilate the Israelis.

Abbas could have his cease-fire in a heartbeat if the former came to pass, but no one will have peace until the Palestinians give up their morbid fantasies of the latter. Israel should quit listening to their fair-weather friends in the West and resolve to give the Palestinians the war they want until they get sick enough of it to negotiate in good faith for a solution of co-existence. Cease fires with one-sided attacks make a mockery of any diplomatic efforts with a group of people who can't keep their word for even an hour.  Sunday, November 26, 2006

www.captainsquartersblog.com

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JUST YOUTHS, THROWING STONES

By Charles Johnson

Pebbles, in fact.

A Palestinian youth throws stones at Israeli army troops, not seen, in clashes during an arrest operation in the West Bank town of Ramallah, Sunday, Nov. 26, 2006. (AP Photo/Nasser Shiyoukhi)

(Hat tip: Meryl Yourish.)  Sunday, November 26, 2006

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog

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GUESS WHO FINANCED THE INSURGENCIES?

By Ed Morrissey

The New York Times reports on the financial underpinnings of the insurgencies in Iraq, showing that they have developed well-oiled mechanisms for generating millions in funding for their operations. A significant portion of those funds come from their abduction industry, and the major donors to that program have been France and Italy:

The insurgency in Iraq is now self-sustaining financially, raising tens of millions of dollars a year from oil smuggling, kidnapping, counterfeiting, connivance by corrupt Islamic charities and other crimes that the Iraqi government and its American patrons have been largely unable to prevent, a classified United States government report has concluded.

The report, obtained by The New York Times, estimates that groups responsible for many insurgent and terrorist attacks are raising $70 million to $200 million a year from illegal activities. It says $25 million to $100 million of that comes from oil smuggling and other criminal activity involving the state-owned oil industry, aided by “corrupt and complicit” Iraqi officials.

As much as $36 million a year comes from ransoms paid for hundreds of kidnap victims, the report says. It estimates that unnamed foreign governments — previously identified by American officials as including France and Italy — paid $30 million in ransom last year.

First, let's acknowledge that the Times has managed to blow more classified data into the open. This time, they manage to refrain from directly exposing a clandestine operation, but this data had to come from somewhere, and the US will find it harder to get this information again if this report uncovers any of their sources. Data gets classified for very good reasons, and no one elected the Gray Lady to make declassification decisions.

Moving beyond that for now, the report shows that whether we like it or not, we have to focus more effort on Iraq as a part of the war on terror. Terrorists have become so adept at raising money that they now run surpluses that go outside of Iraq for other terrorist groups. Iraq's insurgencies have begun to spread through the region, a major reason that the Bush administration insisted that we remain engaged in Iraq until we stamped out the terrorist networks.

If we are to succeed, we need to get a cleaner set of leaders in Iraq. Part of the financing comes from Iraq's rebuilding oil industry, perhaps the extorted payments to stop terrorist attacks on the pipelines. Enough of the production gets hijacked to put tens of millions of dollars into terrorist pockets, and that will increase as Iraqi oil production improves. That access comes via corrupt or intimidated officials at the Iraqi oil ministry. If the Iraqis want to stop the violence from the insurgencies, they will have to start with themselves.

One other interesting point gets made by John Burns and Kirk Semple in their report. The Ba'athists have mostly left the field in Iraq, convinced that they will not return to power. Their assets have been successfully frozen, and the remainder of their liquid funds now support them in comfortable lifestyles rather than paramilitary attempts to restore the Ba'athist regime. The insurgencies operating in Iraq now mostly consist of radical Islamists or sectarian militias, the kind of terrorists we want to face and beat in their territory rather than ours.

Oddly and out of character for the NYT, Burns and Semple try to pour cold water on this report. They note that unnamed intelligence experts call the report -- which the Times publishes -- guesswork intended on supporting Bush's efforts in Iraq. They call the NSC-generated report "political cover", but that doesn't make a lot of sense. If the Bush administration wanted this for that purpose, they could have simply declassified an executive summary from the report, rather than leak it through the NYT, as Burns and Semple imply. The paper didn't seem nearly as incredulous with other leaks it published on its front page in the past.

We're seeing the beginnings of a terror-exporting state in Iraq. We need to stop it now, rather than engaging in a retreat that will only force us to return later at greater loss of life. We also need to get our erstwhile buddies in Europe to quit financing it by ending ransom payments for abductions by terrorists.  Sunday, November 26, 2006

www.captainsquartersblog.com

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CHECHEN AL-QAEDA EMIR ABU HAFS KILLED

By By Bill Roggio

Russian security services killed the Chechen al-Qaeda leader in neighboring Dagestan

The Russian government has made significant progress against the Chechen branch of al-Qaeda over the past year. Today, Russian's Federal Security Services killed Abu Hafs, al-Qaeda in Chechnya's commander, during a raid on a safe house in the neighboring state of Dagestan, along with four associates. Abu Haf's death follows that of Shamil Basayev, the leader of the Chechen jihad, along with much of his senior staff. Since his death, almost 350 Chechen terrorist have surrendered and accepted reconcilliation. Last week, the Russians were hunting Doku Umarov, Basayev's successor, and injured him during a three day battle.

Abu Hafs, (a.k.a. Abu Havs, Abu Khavs, Abu Khafs, Abu Hafs al-Urduni) was born born in Jordan. His real name is Farid Yusef Umeira. He was a Wahabi, the sect of Sunni Islam that provides the ideological underpinnings of al-Qaeda, and was believed to have possessed a Saudi citizenship. He succeeded al-Qaeda commanders Abu Walid al-Ghamdi (a Saudi) and Ibn al Khattab (a Saudi), who were killed by the Russians in 2004 and 2002 respectively. Russian intelligence believes Abu Hafs “helped to organise and finance the Beslan siege” and was “the main channel for funds from the Arab world.” Colin Powell cited Abu Hafs as “the principle conspirator in Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's Iraq-linked terrorist network.”

Russian intelligence believed he was prepared to leave Chechnya... “given the lack of prospects for jihad in the North Caucasus.” On October 16, he issued a videotape and prayed “unto Allah to allow the month [of Ramadan] to be one of mercy, money, fear and salvation for the Mujahideen and those Muslims who support them.”

While media reports typically obscure Abu Hafs' (and other Chechen terrorist leaders) connections with al-Qaeda, his own words speak volumes about his loyalties. On September 19, 2004, Abu Hafs issued a communique calling for attacks on the United States. “The Leaders of the Chechen and the Ansaar [foreign] mujahideen now declare the commencement of attacks on Russian and American interests in Chechnya after having observed that the Russian and American sides continue to [attack] the honor and dignity of Islam and the Muslims in Chechnya, Palestine, Iraq, Indonesia, Afghanistan and in other Muslim countries,” said Abu Hafs.

In a November 16 interview with Kavkaz Center, the “Chechen independent international Islamic Internet news agency” that serves as the mouthpiece for the Chechen terrorists, Abu Hafs comes as close to admitting he is al-Qaeda as he can. “As for me personally, I have gone out for Jihad in the Way of Allah. Also I am the person obedient to His religion. Would it be fair to those who protect honor, religion and the oppressed Muslim brothers to name members of Al-Qaeda? ... My opinion is that they are group of Muslim Mujahideen, similarly to other groups. They help Islam and the oppressed Muslim and Osama bin Laden is one of the leaders of Jihad. I ask Allah to help everybody who shows diligence on His Way. ”

Kavkaz Center, in its preface to its interview with Abu Hafs, provides a succinct view of al_qaeda view on the war. “Thousands are leaving the American war, with Iraq's Mujahideen covering the streets with enemy corpses, with the Taliban leading the Afghan Mujahideen who are now poised to clear Kabul and Muslims in Somalia winning victory after victory. The Islamic Chechen Republic continues as the Chechen jihad began even earlier than in Iraq, Somalia and Afghanistan.”

To al-Qaeda, the theaters of Chechnya, Afghanistan, Iraq and Somalia are intricately linked. These battles, along with those in Indonesia, the Philippines, North Africa, the Levant an dthe whole of the Middle East, Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Thailand, Spain, and elsewhere are battles in the greater war to restore the Islamic Caliphate.  Sunday, November 26, 2006

http://billroggio.com

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LOYALISTS OF AL-SADR SEIZE IRAQI TV STATION

By Robert Spencer

Do not adjust your tv set... Sunni-Shi'ite Jihad Update from McClatchy Newspapers:

BAGHDAD, Iraq — Followers of the militant Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr took over state-run television Saturday to denounce the Iraqi government, label Sunnis "terrorists" and issue what appeared to many viewers as a call to arms.
The two-hour broadcast from a community gathering in the heart of the Shiite militia stronghold of Sadr City included three members of al-Sadr's parliamentary bloc, who took questions from outraged residents demanding revenge for a series of car bombings that killed some 200 people Thursday.
With Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki relegated to the sidelines, brazen Sunni-Shiite attacks continue unchecked despite a 24-hour curfew in Baghdad. Al-Sadr's Mahdi Army militia now controls wide swaths of the capital, his politicians are the backbone of the Cabinet and his followers deeply entrenched in the Iraqi security forces. Sectarian violence has spun so rapidly out of control since the Sadr City blasts, however, that it's not clear whether even al-Sadr has the authority — or the will — to stop the cycle of bloodshed.
"This is live and, God willing, everyone will hear me: We are not interested in sidewalks, water services or anything else. We want safety," an unidentified Sadr City resident said as the televised crowd cheered. "We want the officials. They say there is no sectarian war. No, it is sectarian war, and that's the truth."
Militia leaders told supporters Saturday to prepare for a fresh wave of incursions into Sunni neighborhoods that would begin as soon as the curfew ends Monday, according to Sadr City residents. Several members of the Mahdi Army boasted they were distributing police uniforms throughout Shiite neighborhoods to allow greater freedom of movement. The government announced it would partially lift the curfew today to allow for pedestrian traffic.
[...]
Al-Maliki's administration acknowledged it was powerless to interrupt the pro-Sadr program on the official Iraqiya channel, during which Sadr City residents shouted, "There is no government! There is no state!" Several speakers described neighborhoods and well-known Sunni politicians as "terrorists" and threatened them with reprisal.
"We'll obviously try to control them as much as we can, but when they [lose] more than 150 people in bombings, they have the right to speak," said Bassam al-Husseini, one of al-Maliki's top advisers. "What are we going to do? We can't stop this. It's too hot right now."

POLITICALLY CORRECT RULES OF ENGAGEMENT WIN NO "HEARTS AND MINDS" IN FALLUJAH

By Robert Spencer

No pursuit into mosques without Iraqi troops. Loudspeakers in mosques permitted to broadcast prayers for the defeat of America. And the US is spending $200 million on reconstruction projects in Fallujah. And for what? None of this dents the jihad ideology. Clearly, they still hate us -- no surprise there. And when chaos fully erupts again in Fallujah, the US-funded reconstruction projects will probably be the first to be looted and set ablaze.

"Under fire, US marines hand off battered Fallujah," by Scott Peterson for the Christian Science Monitor:

FALLUJAH, IRAQ - From Observation Post Blazer, marines view Fallujah through a thick sheet of bullet-proof glass - already tested with numerous impacts. Or they stare through night-vision goggles or a thermal imaging scope that can pick up the heat of a dog hundreds of yards away.
The marines still patrol key roads. The US military, which still travels boldly through town despite a surge in deadly sniper attacks and roadside bombs, is spending $200 million on 60-plus projects to rebuild the city, heavily damaged in fighting two years ago.
But with just 300 marines, the US military footprint is smaller in this Sunni stronghold of more than 300,000 than it has been in two years. As the marine presence shrinks and Iraqis take more control, Fallujah - once a template for counterinsurgency efforts in Iraq, where US forces have controlled all the variables - is likely again to set a standard for the rest of the country.
"A lot of us feel like we have our hands tied behind our back," says Cpl. Peter Mattice, of Bravo Company, 1st Battalion, 24th Marine Regiment. "In Fallujah, [insurgents] know our [rules of engagement] - they know when to stop, just before we engage."
[...]
"They say we are here to win the hearts and minds of the Iraqi people, but I just don't see that happening," says Corporal Mattice, of Gladwin, Mich. OP Blazer is perched on the northern edge of the city, looking due south down a main street known to the marines as Ethan, site of numerous roadside bombs.
[...]
Each precinct in Chicago or Detroit, makes 100 to 150 arrests per night per 300,000 people," says Major Kolomjec, a lawyer who notes that Fallujah's population is similar. "Here you take 12 to 40 people per day, and people are up in arms. You can't expect stability, when you are not even doing the same level of policing as Detroit."
Another source of frustration: Pursuit in mosques is forbidden without the presence of Iraqi Army units. Marines say some of Fallujah's 76 mosques are used to hide weaponry. Some broadcast messages such as, "God help us defeat the Americans."
"Many would ask: What other war would we allow the enemy to broadcast calls for our defeat, for the sake of cultural sensitivity?" says O'Neill.  Sunday, November 26, 2006 

http://jihadwatch.org

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ET TU HENRY

By Mike Lane

www.caglecartoons.com

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AL-QAEDA ATTACKS SADR CITY, TAL AFAR

By Bill Roggio

Attacks not only aimed at escalating the violence, but are directed at the will of the American public.

On Thanksgiving Day, al-Qaeda in Iraq pulled off a well planned, coordinated attack against Muqtada al-Sadr's base of power. Five car bombs and two mortars stuck markets in Sadr city, while a platoon-sized element raided the Ministry of Health, which is run by Sadr's political block. Over 200 have been killed and hundreds more wounded in Sadr City. The Mahdi Army hit back with a mortar barrage on the Sunni dominated neighborhood of Adhamiyah. Up to 20 Iraqis were killed in the attack.

The Maliki government responded by imposing a curfew on Baghdad, shutting down traffic in the city on the day of prayer, to prevent further retaliatory attacks. The airports in Baghdad and Basra have been closed. Sadr and other Iraqi political and religious leaders have called for calm, but the Shia have responded. The Mahdi Army attacked four Sunni mosques in the Hurriya district of Baghdad. The Iraqi Army is said to have intervened to stop the attacks, and Reuters reports “least 18 people had been killed and 24 wounded.” Sadr's political block has threatened to withdraw from the government if Prime Minister Maliki meets with “the terrorist,” President Bush.

The timing of the Sadr City attacks must immediately be called into question. Al-Qaeda had duel objectives with this attack: 1) push the Iraqi people closer towards civil war by forcing Sadr to escalate the violence 2) give the American public topics of discussion at the Thanksgiving Day table. The 'failure' of the U.S. effort in Iraq and the hopelessness of containing the violence was al-Qaeda's messages to the American public.

Today, al-Qaeda sent another message. The city of Tal Afar was hit by two suicide bombers. Over 22 were killed and 26 wounded. Tal Afar has been called a model Iraqi city by President Bush, and the mayor has praised American troops and the president for ridding the city of al-Qaeda. Press reports often note this fact, without pointing out al-Qaeda's motivations for hitting Tal Afar.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq has been adept at conducting strikes to achieve its political goals. The escalating violence in the run up to the U.S. midterm elections is one such example. Abu Ayyub al-Masri gloated over the midterm election results, and declared an al-Qaeda victory. The Madrid train bombings in Spain just days before the election is another. The Thanksgiving Day attacks in Sadr City was sure to dominate the headlines and televisions in the United States on what is typically a slow news day.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq has 'moderated' its message towards the Shia since Zarqawi's death, but still conduct s attacks to destabilize the regime and keep the sectarian violence boiling. Only the rhetoric has changed, as al-Qaeda Command perceived the open calls for the slaughter of fellow Muslims tarnished al-Qaeda international image among Muslims.  November 24, 2006

THE ANBAR TRIBED VS. AL-QAEDA, CONTINUED

By Bill Roggio

Sunnis continue to turn on al-Qaeda in the heart of the Sunni Triangle.

The Anbar tribes' turn against al-Qaeda has developed significantly since the end of the Anbar Campaign late last year, which swept al-Qaeda and the insurgency from the major towns and cities west of Ramadi. Over the past year, the majority of the tribes have denounced al-Qaeda and formed alliances with the Iraqi government and U.S. forces operating in the region. Numerous 'foreign fighters' have been killed or captured by the tribes. The tribes are working to restore order, and are providing recruits for the police and Army, despite horrific suicide attacks on recruiting centers. These attacks have not deterred the recruiting, but in fact have motivated the tribes to fight al-Qaeda.

The Anbar tribes have also taken an active role in fighting al-Qaeda. In March, several tribes and Sunni insurgent groups formed the Anbar Revenge Brigades to hunt al-Qaeda operatives in western Iraq. At the end of the summer, 25 of the 31 Anbar tribes banded together and created the Anbar Salvation Council to openly fight al-Qaeda, and pledged “30,000 young men armed with assault rifles who were willing to confront and kill the insurgents and criminal gangs.”The Council has killed and captured numerous 'foreign fighters' and has provided hundreds of recruits for the police and Army, despite horrific attacks designed to terrorize new volunteers.

The Times' Martin Fletcher, who is embedded in Ramadi, provides an account of the progress being made in Anbar province, the fight in Ramadi, and the splits between al-Qaeda and the Sunni tribes.

While the world’s attention has been focused on Baghdad’s slide into sectarian warfare, something remarkable has been happening in Ramadi, a city of 400,000 inhabitants that al-Qaeda and its Iraqi allies have controlled since mid-2004 and would like to make the capital of their cherished Islamic caliphate.

A power struggle has erupted: al-Qaeda’s reign of terror is being challenged. Sheik Sittar and many of his fellow tribal leaders have cast their lot with the once-reviled US military. They are persuading hundreds of their followers to sign up for the previously defunct Iraqi police. American troops are moving into a city that was, until recently, a virtual no-go area. A battle is raging for the allegiance of Ramadi’s battered and terrified citizens and the outcome could have far-reaching consequences.

Ramadi has been the insurgency’s stronghold for the past two years. It is the conduit for weapons and foreign fighters arriving from Syria and Saudi Arabia. To reclaim it would deal a severe blow to the insurgency throughout the Sunni triangle and counter mounting criticism of the war back in America.

Mr. Fletcher provides a look at the fight in Ramadi that is not seen in the news reporting, and should be read in conjunction with Michael Fumento's account from Ramadi.

Again, the tribal leaders have openly gone on record against al-Qaeda, signaling their willingness to fight and exposing themselves and their families to attacks and intimidation. Coalition forces discovered a detailed al-Qaeda in Iraq assassination program in the spring of 2006. Tribal leaders are high on the list.

Sheik Abdul Sattar Buzaigh al-Rishawi, the leader of the Rishawi tribe, among other sheiks, has been quite vocal in his rejection of al-Qaeda. He has openly opposed Harith al-Dhari, the leader of the Association of Muslim Scholars, after al-Dhari criticized the Anbar Salvation Council for working with the government and U.S. forces. Al-Dhari has called “resistance... a legitimate right upheld by all heavenly and man-made laws and regulations," and has been linked to al-Qaeda and the Sunni insurgency.

The turning of the Sunni tribes is directly related to al-Qaeda in Iraq's attempts to install a Taliban like rule in the region. Al-Qaeda looks upon the tribal system with open contempt, and has killed, intimidated and humiliated tribal leaders during the past three years under the leadership of the slain Zarqawi.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq recognized its failures and has attempted to rebuild ties to the tribes and the Sunni insurgent groups. In February, al-Qaeda in Iraq created the Mujahideen Shura in an attempt to Iraqify its foreign face, and appointed Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, an Iraqi, as its Emir. Since Zarqawi was killed by Task Force 145 last June, and taken over by Abu Ayyub al-Masri (an Egyptian), Al-Qaeda in Iraq formed the "Mutayibeen Coalition," made of of six Anbar tribes and small insurgent groups. Al-Qaeda in Iraq then declared the Islamic Emirate of Iraq, which is made up of Baghdad, Anbar, Diyala, Kirkuk, Salah al-Din, Ninawa, and in other parts of the governorate of Babel. Al-Masri pledged 12,000 troops to al-Baghdadi, but these are from the 6 opposing tribes. Despite all this, there are serious divisions inside al-Qaeda in Iraq and between various insurgent groups and the tribes.

Lost in the current debate over Iraq - civil war or sectarian violence, success or failure, increasing troops or strategic redeployment, victory or defeat - is the sea-change occurring in western Iraq. The U.S. military has coaxed a large majority of the Sunnis of Anbar province, perhaps one of the most sympathetic groups to al-Qaeda in the Middle East, to turn on al-Qaeda. The choice wasn't difficult after the tribes saw what al-Qaeda had to offer – death, torture, Taliban like sharia, humiliation, destruction of commerce. The relationship and intelligence gained form operating in western Iraq will benefit the west during the Long War – if the U.S. doesn't withdrawal precipitously and leave the Anbar tribes to the predations of al-Qaeda in Iraq.  November 22, 2006

http://billroggio.com

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AUSTRALIA FINDS US PRESSURE ON IRAN HAVING AN IMPACT

By Jonathan Winer

On November 20, Australia's Export Finance and Insurance Corporation (EFIC), found that "de facto sanctions" were having an impact on investment in Iran and Iranian financial access to international payments systems.

In its latest Market Watch newsletter, EFIC cited its chief economist, Roger Donnelly, as finding that banks and insurers involved in the trade and project finance markets have been taking steps to limit Iranian risk, despite the fact that Iran has been a "lucrative" market.

The newsletter (here) quoted Donnelly as stating that “Cover is still available, but banks and insurers are reportedly cutting their limits and raising prices energetically. This includes letter of credit (LC) confirmation . . political risk insurance and project finance.”

The Australian economist found that Iran's ability to obtain goods and services had likely not yet been hindered, as it could finance its needs through purchases made through cash generated by oil revenues. But the sanctions are creating what he termed "friction," to transactions involving Iran, and impair the ability of foreigners to do business with Iran.

From here, the question is whether the U.S. will secure agreement from other countries to initiate broader limitations on their financial institutions handling of Iranian related transactions, given its proliferation program and utter lack of any form of controls on its funds-at-origin.  Sunday, November 26, 2006 

REPORT: IRAQ-BASED JIHADISTS SEEK TO EXPAND WAR TO NORTH AFRICA

By Evan Kohlmann

According to reports in Arab media, personnel from the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) visited the Moroccan city of Rabat last week to investigate an apparent increase in the number of Moroccan mujahideen volunteers traveling to Iraq in order to join Al-Qaida. CIA officials allegedly scheduled the visit after Moroccan intelligence services presented them with the names of two young men from the northern Moroccan town of Tetouan who had recently executed suicide bomb attacks in the Iraqi capital Baghdad. Reportedly, the men were accompanied on their journey to Iraq by at least seven other would-be jihadist companions from their neighborhood in Tetouan (who remain at large).

The Moroccan government has grave concerns that elements from the nascent Moroccan Tawhid wal-Jihad Movement and the Algerian Salafist Group for Prayer and Combat (GSPC) are intent upon using the cauldron in Iraq to mobilize a new armed front for Al-Qaida in North Africa. Local media also reports that Moroccan authorities have recently intercepted a telephone conversation between a militant inside Morocco and another Moroccan national hiding in Syria. The two men discussed a plan to travel to Algeria in order to receive advanced training from veteran GSPC instructors and to establish an official joint Al-Qaida branch covering all of North Africa.  November 23, 2006

http://counterterrorismblog.org

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THE WAR AGAINST THE WEST

By Melanie Phillips

Two articles in the Jerusalem Post provide graphic and deeply alarming confirmation of the extent to which America appears to have lost the plot in the war to defend the free world. Khaled Abu Toameh shreds the notion that underpins American (and Israeli) policy towards the Palestinians — that Mahmoud Abbas and Fatah are good while Hamas is bad, and that Abbas is weak and needs to be propped up against Hamas, most notably by the Americans supplying him with a load of guns. As Khaled Abu Toameh observes, however, this is all totally ridiculous.

Abbas has control over at least 45,000 members of a dozen or so security forces in the Gaza Strip. This is in addition to thousands of gunmen and activists belonging to his Fatah party. Hamas, by contrast, has less than 5,000 militiamen, who are not as effective as Abbas’s policemen and security agents, some of whom were trained by American and European security experts… Why, then, doesn’t Abbas simply order thousands of his policemen to deploy along the border with Israel to halt the Kassam attacks? How come he hasn’t even made the slightest effort to stop the smuggling of tons of explosives from Egypt into the Gaza Strip?

The answer is simple. Abbas lacks the will - not the ability - to take harsh decisions. In fact, he appears to be comfortable with the image of the weak leader low on funds and resources. Abbas’s message to the outside world is: If I only had more weapons, policemen and money, I’d be able to move against the terrorists. This was the same excuse that his predecessor, Yasser Arafat, used to give whenever he was asked why he was not doing anything to stop suicide bombings against Israel.

Judging from his actions over the past year, it is clear that Abbas is not interested at all in a confrontation with Hamas or any of the radical groups in the Gaza Strip. His strategy is based on the notion that if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. Although he has repeatedly condemned the firing of the ‘primitive’ rockets at Israel as ‘harmful’ to the interests of the Palestinians, he has never ordered his security chiefs to go after the rocket squads - not even when the miserable residents of Beit Hanun, who are continuing to pay a heavy price, begged him to take action.

Abbas’s claim that he is lacking in weapons and money is ridiculous given the facts on the ground. Just last week, thousands of PA policemen and Fatah gunmen staged paramilitary parades in various parts of Gaza, during which they reportedly fired more than a million bullets into the air. The cost of each bullet ranges between NIS 1-NIS 5, depending on the type of rifle or pistol. Also, it is worth noting that some of the weapons and ammunition that are being smuggled from Egypt goes to Fatah militias and Abbas’s security forces in Gaza. With regard to the funds, millions of dollars continue to pour into Abbas’s office almost on a weekly basis. Just last week, Kuwait transferred $29 million to Abbas’s bank account. The US, which is eager to bring down the Hamas government, has also been arming and funding Abbas and his Fatah party.

One report cited an official US document as revealing that Washington had allocated $42 million to fund the opponents of the Hamas government, while another claimed that the Americans had decided to provide Abbas’s Force 17 with an additional 6,000 M-16 rifles. Such reports have left many Palestinians confused about America’s Middle East policy, particularly the idea of spreading democracy.

They aren’t the only ones. Meanwhile, Caroline Glick writes:

The Democratic Party’s victory in the November 7 Congressional elections convinced Iran and Syria that they are on the verge of a great victory against the US in Iraq. Iranian and Syrian jubilation is well founded in light of the Democratic leadership’s near unanimous calls for the US to withdraw its forces in Iraq; Bush’s firing of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and his appointment of his father’s CIA director Robert Gates to replace him; and Bush’s praise for the Congressionally mandated Iraq Study Group charged with revisiting US strategy in Iraq, which is being co-chaired by his father’s secretary of state James Baker III. Although his committee has yet to formally submit its recommendations, Baker made clear that he will recommend that the administration negotiate a withdrawal of US forces from Iraq with Iran and Syria. That is, he is putting together a strategy not for victory, but for defeat.

Baker fervently believes that US foreign policy should revolve around being bad to its friends and good to its enemies. Consequently he thinks that the US can avoid the humiliation of the defeat he proposes by buying off Syria and Iran, the forces behind most of the violence, instability, subversion and terror in Iraq. If the US accepts their conditions, they will temporarily cease their attacks to enable a US retreat that will look only mildly humiliating to the television viewers back home.

…The most pressing question today then is whether Bush will give in to Baker and the Democrats and agree to capitulate to Iran and Syria in Iraq, Lebanon and indeed throughout the world. Unfortunately, things look bleak given that Bush relies most heavily on Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. Rice has been blocking US action against Syria and Iran for the past two years. She was the primary architect of UN Resolution 1701 this summer, has been pushing for dangerous Israeli concessions to the Palestinians and is known for her good relations with Baker.

Those who know President Bush say that alarm over Baker and Gates should not be overdone, since Bush is a man who means what he says and is unlikely to retreat from his stated positions over seeing it through in Iraq and not tolerating Iranian nuclear weapons. Against that, however, is the fact that he does rely on Condoleezza Rice; and no less disturbingly, that he requires his people to present him with a consensus for action. This means he does not hear rival proposals, and instead gets served with proposals which are forced to embody the lowest common denominator. This is not the leadership required for the defence of the free world.

THE WAR WITHIN AND THE WAR WITHOUT

By Melanie Phillips

Michel Gurfinkiel ruminates on the organised and synchronised violence that is taking place in the ongoing French intifada, on the unholy alliance between murderous Islamism and the left and on the ominous historical parallels with previous generations of fifth columnists and self-destroying useful idiots:

Still, it would be wise not to write off entirely the possibility of a green-red alliance. There is a historical precedent in the spread of Islam itself, in the 7th century. It is well known that the newly founded religious empire from Arabia overran in less than two decades the two mightiest powers of the time, the Christian Byzantine Empire and the Mazdean Persian Empire. What is less well known is that the Arab expansion coincided, in both places, with a deep ethnic, religious, and social crisis. In fact, the Arabs didn’t outright conquer Palestine, Syria, Anatolia, Egypt, North Africa, Iraq, and the Iranian plateau. They struck alliances with the local rebels: the Copts and the Syriacs, the Nestorians and the Donatists, the Jews and the Mardakites, with those who spoke neither Greek nor Persian and shared neither the beliefs of the basileus nor those of the shah. Even the green flag of Islam was borrowed from non-Arabs: It was originally the symbol of rebellion in Byzantium, the equivalent in its day of the red flag in ours.

Can history repeat itself, and fundamentalist Islam subdue Europe in the 21st century with the help of European extremists? Will the green flag and the red flag wave side by side? Buses are burning in France and nobody, so far, seems to know how to stop that.  Monday, November 27, 2006

www.melaniephillips.com/diary

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AUSSIE RADICALS GETTING EVEN MORE SO

By Charles Johnson

Australian radical Sheikh Mohammed Omran is making a move, appealing to the ones who think Sheik Taj al-Din al-Hialy is too moderate: Muslim leaders warn radical splinters. (Hat tip: LGF readers.)

MAINSTREAM Muslim leaders are warning that splinter groups of dissatisfied members of the national fundamentalist Wahhabi leadership, who claim their spiritual guides have become too Westernised, are being formed in Melbourne and Sydney.

The split is said to be headed by controversial cleric Mohammed Omran, The Australian newspaper reports today, and has been made worse by leaders calling for followers to improve relationships with police and to integrate into Australian society.

Muslim leader Fadi Rahman said some members have abandoned prayer halls and formed their own groups to preach a more fundamentalist interpretation of the Koran.

“Within the Wahhabi and Salafi groups there’s been groups which have divided into more extreme groups who don’t believe that what these people (their leaders) are preaching is pure anymore,” he said.

“In fact, it is the students of those leaders who are now saying, “This is not what you taught me, this is not what you preached to me.”

SOMALIA JIHADIS MASS NEAR GOVERNMENT TOWN

By Charles Johnson

The Council on American Islamic Relations called the takeover of Somalia by Islamic militants “a positive change.” But Ethiopia has a different opinion, as the jihadis prepare to push into the Somali government’s last stronghold: Somalia braces for war as residents flee.

MOGADISHU, Somalia - Hundreds of Ethiopian troops arrived to protect Somalia’s government Friday as witnesses said a powerful Islamic militia massed nearby, raising concerns of clashes between the two forces.

More than 130 trucks carried the Ethiopians into Baidoa, the only town controlled by the government, residents said. “They parked their trucks around the town,” Nunay Selah said by telephone. “They are digging trenches.”

The standoff is between the transitional federal government, which has U.N. recognition but little authority on the ground, and the Council of Islamic Courts, which controls most of southern Somalia.

Residents as far away as Bur Hakaba — 40 miles east of Baidoa — were evacuating. “We are seeing strong military movements from both sides,” said Mohamud Ahmed, a father of six. “We don’t believe we will be able to continue living in our town peacefully.”

Ethiopia, a largely Christian nation, fears the emergence of neighboring Islamic state and has acknowledged sending military advisers to help Somalia’s government. But Prime Minister Meles Zenawi has repeatedly denied sending a fighting force.

RELIGION OF PEACE KILLING TEACHERS IN THAILAND

By Charles Johnson

Despite the appointment (by military coup) of a Muslim prime minister, and his obsequious apology to Muslims for the previous government’s policies, the killing in Thailand is getting worse: Teacher slayings shut Thai schools. (Hat tip: LGF readers.)

BANGKOK, Thailand (AP) — Hundreds of schools in Thailand’s restive south will shut their doors in response to increasingly vicious attacks by suspected Muslim insurgents against teachers and schools, an official said Saturday.

The closure, which begins Monday, affects all 336 primary and secondary schools in the province of Pattani, where two teachers were fatally shot by suspected insurgents in the past two days.

In one of the killings, attackers shot a school principal Friday, and then set his body on fire. The principal became the 59th teacher or school official killed in three years of violence, said Bunsom Thongsriprai, president of the Teachers’ Association in Pattani.

“Teachers can’t bear what has happened,” Bunsom said. “They are paranoid, worried and afraid.” He said the province’s schools, which teach about 100,000 students, will reopen when teachers feel safe.  Saturday, November 25, 3006

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog

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