Each month, 25,000 people from around the
globe arrive in the United Arab Emirates, seeking jobs, contracts, and
political stability. Walk past the gleaming new skyscrapers, government
buildings, fountains, and shopping malls that line the immaculate
tree-lined corniche in Abu Dhabi—or those in neighboring Dubai, only a
90-minute drive away—and you’ll hear dozens of languages. Most people
wear Western clothes; you see relatively few dishdashas, the
flowing white robes usually worn by Arab men in the Persian Gulf. There
are no bearded mullahs on the streets or on the far more crowded
highways. There are lots of women drivers, though, some with
headscarves, some without.
Only two decades ago, few foreigners would have viewed this loose
federation of seven independent sheikhdoms, strung out along the
southeastern corner of the Persian Gulf, as a land of opportunity. But
thanks to the world’s fifth-largest reserves of crude oil and natural
gas, an estimated $1 trillion of investment abroad, and plans to spend
at least $200 billion over the next decade on infrastructure and other
grandiose projects in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, the two most dynamic
emirates, the UAE has burst into the world’s—and belatedly,
America’s—consciousness.
Most Americans had heard of Dubai, the most frantic of the seven
emirates—and especially of its over-the-top city of the same name:
Disneyland on steroids, or “Donald Trump on acid,” as one writer called
it. But far fewer knew much about either the emirate of Abu Dhabi or
its eponymous capital city (also the capital of the federation as a
whole). Recently, however, Abu Dhabi—with 95 percent of the UAE’s oil,
85 percent of its land, and over half of its gross domestic product—has
emerged from the shadow of its more flamboyant neighboring sheikhdom
and friendly rival. In late November, the normally risk-averse
emirate’s Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, the world’s largest and most
secretive sovereign wealth fund, bought a 4.9 percent share of troubled
Citigroup. That was just one of hundreds of American and other foreign
companies in which the diversifying emirate has invested in recent
years.
While the Citigroup purchase highlights its growing financial clout,
Abu Dhabi’s most remarkable investment is in human development. The
emirate is determined to modernize its young, traditionally
conservative, underskilled population—to mold future citizens secure in
their Islamic heritage but able to flourish in an increasingly
globalized and diverse world. Radical Islamists want to drag Muslims
back to the Dark Ages; Muslim Abu Dhabi is racing into the future.
True, Abu Dhabi, like the UAE as a whole, has a system of government
that is tribal and undemocratic, blending family, business, and
administrative interests in inseparable and impenetrable ways. But the
emirate’s commitment to the education and cultural advancement of its
people makes it a relatively bright spot in the Arab Middle East, where
oil wealth has too often brought conflict and misery.
Talk with Abu Dhabi’s Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Zayed al-Nahyan and members of his brain trust of young advisors,
and you’ll hear a lot about cultural transformation. “We’re in a war
with those who have hijacked our religion,” the 46-year-old crown
prince tells me. “To succeed, we must also eradicate concepts like wasta and baksheesh—family influence and bribes,” both widespread Middle Eastern traditions. “And we are succeeding.”
To make itself the region’s true cultural hub, the emirate has
forged surprising partnerships, and is negotiating others, with some of
the world’s leading cultural and academic institutions, several based
in New York. In 2006, for instance, Abu Dhabi commissioned the
Guggenheim Museum to construct a vast, 450,000-square-foot branch in
the emirate. (Abu Dhabi shares Dubai’s obsession with gigantism: having
the world’s “tallest” skyscrapers, the “best” hotels, the “largest”
shopping malls, and so on.) This past November came the announcement
for New York University–Abu Dhabi (NYUAD), which will be the first
comprehensive liberal arts campus that any major American research
university establishes abroad. The emirate has also recruited the
Sorbonne to create a French-language university and inked a whopping
$1.3 billion deal with the Louvre to use its name, build a classical
art museum, and share and jointly acquire art. Further, Abu Dhabi is
talking with the New York Public Library and several other great
libraries about opening branches, and it has approached New York’s
Metropolitan Opera and Lincoln Center about a partnership, though
executives say that no deal is imminent.
The home for these projects will be a spectacular 640-acre cultural
complex on Saadiyat (“happiness” in Arabic) Island, just off the coast
of the capital. Abu Dhabi is investing $27 billion in the development,
with some of the world’s most influential architects, including Frank
Gehry, designing its landmark museums and other new buildings. “This is
a hugely exciting project on so many levels,” says Mubarak Hamad
al-Muhairi, the 38-year-old director general of the Abu Dhabi Tourism
Authority, which oversees the complex.
This ambitious venture raises difficult questions. Did Dubai’s
unsuccessful 2006 effort to buy a company that operated six U.S. ports,
which infuriated many American politicians, increase Abu Dhabi’s
emphasis on cultural outreach? Further, culture has always followed
money—where would Florence have been without the Medicis?—but can money
really buy culture? That is, will the museums and campuses and theaters
edify and enlighten not only the 3 million yearly “cultural tourists”
whom Abu Dhabi hopes to attract by 2015, but also the UAE’s 825,000
citizens? The government promoters have no doubt. The complex, they
feel, is essential to closing what one advisor calls the “knowledge
gap” between Abu Dhabi and the West and countering Islamist extremism.
“We want an impact on our society, not just on visitors,” says the
American-educated al-Muhairi over cappuccinos topped with chocolate and
gold flakes at the majestic Emirates Palace Hotel. “We are younger than
Cairo, Beirut, or Baghdad. We can take a new vision forward and hope
that what our people see in these museums will inspire them to produce
their own art. So we are not ‘buying culture.’ ”
“It’s better for all of us that Saadiyat be a cultural complex than
a naval base,” agrees Bassem Kudsi, who went to college in Oregon
before returning to Abu Dhabi to work for its Authority for Culture and
Heritage. “My jihad is culture: let’s let a thousand festivals bloom!
What our region needs is more culture and less conflict.”
Abu Dhabi’s rise—and the UAE’s
transformation from one of the world’s poorest, most forlorn strips of
desert to the supercharged society it is today—has to do with oil, of
course. Yet while oil was a necessary condition, it wasn’t sufficient.
Many other oil-rich societies, after all, have failed to achieve such
staggering prosperity.
Historian and businessman Mohammed al-Fahim remembers a time only 40
years ago when Abu Dhabians were dirt-poor, though oil had begun to
flow and the ruler’s coffers were filling. In his book, From Rags to Riches: A Story of Abu Dhabi,
al-Fahim recounts living hand to mouth, working in pearl fishing and
the declining Bedouin livestock trade. As recently as 1962, Abu
Dhabians resided in palm-frond huts that lacked clean water, toilets,
and electricity. There was one paved road. Few could read or write.
Al-Fahim’s younger sister died of burns sustained in a fire, and his
30-year-old mother died in childbirth, because his town had no doctors
or nurses.
Abu Dhabi’s turning point, al-Fahim observes, was August 1966, when
Sheikh Zayed bin Sultan al-Nahyan came to power with British support.
Two years later, when the British, largely for financial reasons,
announced plans to withdraw from the Trucial States—the Persian Gulf
sheikhdoms, including Abu Dhabi, that they’d controlled for 170
years—Zayed doggedly sought an alliance with the other sheikhs. Bahrain
and Qatar opted for independence, but Zayed wooed the others into a
federation by promising to share oil with the five emirates that had
none, by granting their ruling families considerable autonomy, and by
promising to divide key federal posts among the families. So while his
clan, the al-Nahyans, continues to rule Abu Dhabi (the sheikh himself
died in 2004), the Maktoums have long presided over Dubai, free to
pursue their own economic vision (which has been to turn their emirate,
producing fewer than 100,000 barrels of oil per day to Abu Dhabi’s 2.7
million, into a world-class financial hub). Zayed’s commitment to his
pledges gave the UAE political stability; Emiratis today revere him as
their George Washington. And that stability in turn helped Abu Dhabi
and the rest of the UAE make effective use of the area’s abundant oil
and grow very, very wealthy.
The tiny native population—Emiratis are just under 20 percent of the
UAE’s 4.5 million people, with the rest of the population made up of
guest workers—has fully shared in the prosperity. Per-capita income for
the 420,000 or so Abu Dhabians, for instance, is a healthy $52,500. And
until the 1980s, when land finally ran out, Abu Dhabi gave each citizen
free property to develop as he saw fit. “For Emiratis, there is free
education, free health care, and many other benefits,” notes Yousef
al-Otaiba, 34, the director of international affairs for the crown
prince’s office.
Not that there aren’t problems, including a
bloated state sector. But Abu Dhabi’s “Policy Agenda, 2007–2009,”
prepared by the emirate’s executive council, would on paper please
Milton Friedman. Privatization, for example, is one of the agenda’s
major “pillars” of reform—a sensible priority, since the private sector
today accounts for only 17.8 percent of GDP. Competitive bids are now
flooding in to provide the goods and services that have been the
government’s responsibility, though foreigners still need Emirati
partners to do business here. Even the fire department is up for
outsourcing. The emirate wants to slash public-sector employment from
65,000 to 18,000 by the end of 2008, while helping ignite an explosion
of private-sector jobs, especially for women and younger nationals,
among whom unemployment rates are high. (Paul Dyer, of the Dubai School
of Government, a partner of Harvard’s John F. Kennedy School, puts
unemployment among young UAE citizens at 60 percent.)
In all its joint ventures, Abu Dhabi has been exacting in its choice
of partners. “We’ve learned from watching others,” said Ahmed Ali
al-Sayegh, a crown prince confidant who founded Abu Dhabi’s largest
land-development company, Aldar Properties. He doesn’t mention (though
he clearly has in mind) Dubai, with its sinister underbelly of Russian
mafia, drug lords, militant Islamists, and other trouble seekers who
call that city-state home. “We don’t want to tie up with the wrong
people,” he says.
Improving health care is a second reform pillar. It may be free for
Emiratis, but the UAE’s health-care system remains substandard. By
2004, for instance, Abu Dhabi was spending a quarter of its total
health-care dirham (the UAE’s dollar-pegged currency) on subsidizing
advanced medical treatment abroad for citizens who couldn’t get it at
home. Nearly 85 percent of breast-cancer cases are diagnosed and
treated “at a very late stage when the chance for a cure is low,
compared to only 20 percent in the USA and 30 percent in Europe,” the
policy agenda states. Rates of Type II diabetes in adults and of
obesity and asthma in children are among the world’s highest. To help
improve the level of care, Abu Dhabi is paying renowned Western
health-care providers Johns Hopkins and the Cleveland Clinic to build
new hospitals and to manage its existing medical institutions, as well
as to train more Abu Dhabian doctors and nurses: at present, only 10
percent of Abu Dhabi’s doctors are nationals.
Abu Dhabi also faces a housing shortage, which is driving up
rents—some 20 to 30 percent last year alone. Foreign workers and even
some Emiratis are feeling the squeeze. Last October, the emirate capped
rent hikes at 7 percent per year, but as more units come on the market,
it expects inflationary pressure to ease. Last year, Abu Dhabi also
began to permit foreigners essentially to own apartments within certain
zones, and so escape the skyrocketing rents. But the vagueness of
property titles and transfer provisions has made buyers wary, reports
the Financial Times.
The UAE’s importation of millions of
foreign workers, the majority from India and Pakistan, is generating
tensions, too. Human Rights Watch accuses both Dubai and Abu Dhabi of
looking the other way when some employers confiscate workers’ passports
(technically against UAE law) or force potential hires to hand over
exorbitant fees to land jobs paying only $150 to $200 a month. In its
latest report, Human Rights Watch suggests an even more troubling
possibility: unreported worker deaths at Dubai construction sites.
Hadi Ghaemi, a human rights advocate who helped write the report,
attributes the labor problems to conflict of interest. When the UAE’s
current minister of labor ruled that none of his employees could have
an interest in more than ten companies, Ghaemi points out, the
decision provoked mass resignations. “The ministries responsible for
[workers’] well-being should not also be owners of the companies that
employ them,” Ghaemi says. Since Abu Dhabi and the rest of the UAE are
marketing themselves as enlightened modern societies, he concludes,
“it’s time they recognized that workers’ rights are part of such a
culture.”
There are signs, however, that quiet prodding from Abu Dhabi’s
Western cultural partners is having a beneficial effect. In his
discussions with government officials, Frank Gehry, the architect
building the gigantic Guggenheim Abu Dhabi, has insisted on the need to
respect workers’ rights, Human Rights Watch reports. “While nothing we
do guarantees that workers will be well treated, Sheikh Sultan has said
he agrees with us,” Gehry tells me, referring to Sultan bin Tahnoon
al-Nahyan, who chairs the tourism authority overseeing the project. A
“gentlemen’s agreement” is now in place on workers’ rights, Gehry says.
And since human rights monitors are now “on the ground” in Abu Dhabi,
he adds, “if rights are violated, I assume we’ll know about it.”
The labor problems have complicated Abu
Dhabi’s outreach to Western institutions, despite its seductively deep
pockets. Cultural and political differences have raised obstacles, too.
Earlier this year, for example, more than 4,600 French academics,
archaeologists, art historians, and others signed a petition opposing
the Louvre partnership, saying that France’s cultural patrimony was
“not for sale.” Ultimately, the $1.3 billion package proved
irresistible to the cash-strapped Louvre. To assuage concerns about
artistic censorship, the French government created a special advisory
panel to ensure that the Louvre Abu Dhabi observes its Parisian
parent’s artistic standards. Still, the UAE has reserved the right to
refuse art that offends local sensibilities and religious or cultural
norms.
American critics have usually been more discreet. But then, Abu
Dhabi’s American partners have also been less transparent than their
French counterparts about the size, value, and precise content of their
deals. Guggenheim director Thomas Krens, who has promoted his museum as
a brand and spearheaded the creation of four more Guggenheim museums at
home and abroad, was recently quoted as saying that Abu Dhabi had
agreed to give the museum $600 million over the next ten years to
acquire art. But neither he nor Gehry would comment on the size of the
entire package, rumored to be well over $1 billion if the cost of the
new museum on Saadiyat is included.
New York University has refused to disclose how much Abu Dhabi will
pay it to build, staff, and operate NYU–Abu Dhabi, which will serve at
least 2,000 undergraduates and 800 graduate students. Nor will it
disclose the nature of the ill-defined “investment in faculty and
programming” that Abu Dhabi will give to NYU’s main campus at
Washington Square. We do know that classes at NYUAD, which plans to
open in 2010, will be coeducational and in English. Mariet Westermann,
the campus’s new vice chancellor, says that the agreement gives NYU
“full control” over student affairs, academic standards and content,
and faculty and student recruitment. “But entry regulations and visa
policies are set by the foreign government, not by us,” she adds.
Those policies may prove controversial. And there may be cultural
and legal challenges as well. In early November, the international
press covered the alleged rape of a 15-year-old French male student in
Dubai by three men. Press accounts said that local officials tried to
discourage the boy from pressing charges and pressured him to say that
he was homosexual. In 2006, again in Dubai, 12 gay Arab men were
arrested at a secret gay wedding, imprisoned, and threatened with
forced hormone treatments. Such incidents led several gay students to
challenge NYU president John Sexton about the partnership in November.
Of greater concern to some Jewish NYU students and faculty is the UAE’s behavior toward Israel. According to the Forward,
recent U.S. Commerce Department figures show that in 2006, American
companies reported 486 requests from UAE-based companies to comply with
the Arab League’s boycott of Israel—more than three times the number
reported from any other Arab state. But when one NYU trustee reportedly
objected that the Abu Dhabi deal would appear to condone the policies
of a state that boycotts Israel, Sexton produced a letter of support
from Abraham Foxman, the national director of the Anti-Defamation
League, a leading Jewish organization. “Abu Dhabi and Dubai are moving
towards greater openness and tolerance,” says Foxman. “While they
haven’t come far enough, bringing American institutions into close
contact with them can only strengthen that trend.”
American Jewish groups have generally been reluctant to criticize
the UAE, convinced, like Foxman, that this wealthy young country,
unlike some of its neighbors, is trying to promote greater tolerance
and pluralism. They were silent when Israeli delegations of baggage
handlers and dentists were not permitted to attend their associations’
annual meetings, held in October in Dubai. Nor did they or the Israeli
government protest when, after Egyptian filmmakers complained, an
Israeli film invited to be shown in Abu Dhabi’s first international
film festival in October was disinvited. After two delegations of
Jewish organizations traveled to the UAE in 2007—in a tour that also
included Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain—the American Jewish Committee’s
Jason Isaacson praised Abu Dhabi and Dubai. “We feel we have a good
line of communications with the UAE on a range of issues and can
express our views to policy makers,” he said.
Some experts think that Abu Dhabi is
pushing its outreach campaign so hard because the need for educational
reform is so urgent—as it is throughout the UAE. “The UAE has the best
indicators for economic growth, and some of the worst for educational
growth,” says Christopher Davidson, a UAE expert at Durham University
in Britain. Budgets for teachers and campuses have been frozen for
years, he asserts; expatriate teachers have been paid 10 to 50 percent
less than their counterparts elsewhere in the region. And teaching, he
says, is not a high-status job within the UAE.
The government apparently agrees with at least part of his
assessment. The new federal budget unveiled in late November, says the
Economist Intelligence Unit’s David Butter, provides a 70 percent
salary increase for civil servants, including many teachers. And at the
college level, Abu Dhabi is pouring money not only into its
partnerships, but also into its existing colleges, where women greatly
outnumber men. A visit to the women’s college at the Higher Colleges of
Technology, a largely British-staffed technical school with separate
campuses for men and women, shows how progressive Abu Dhabi is compared
with Saudi Arabia and some other neighbors. Though the young women wear
traditional dress—black fitted abayas (cloaks) and jewel-encrusted shaylahs
(black silk scarves)—all say that they want and expect to work
alongside men after graduation. All speak good English, the college’s
teaching language. All drive cars. All are outspoken about their
political views—strongly opposing the U.S. invasion of Iraq, for
instance, but often adding that they have visited America or want to.
And most feel that they will be able to fulfill their professional and
personal dreams. “There is nothing to stop us here, except our own
limitations,” says Souad al-Housari, a business major.
For all Dubai’s glitz and Abu Dhabi’s more
controlled frenzy, this is a tough neighborhood. With Wahhabi-dominated
Saudi Arabia to the west and Iran just across the Persian Gulf to the
north, the UAE’s prosperity, and even its survival, are by no means
guaranteed. Despite close trading ties between Iran and the UAE, many
Emiratis have not forgotten that Iran occupies three islands that both
countries have claimed since Iran first grabbed them in 1971, on the
eve of the UAE’s independence.
The United States, which has replaced Britain as the federation’s
unofficial guardian, has adopted a low profile at the UAE’s insistence.
While America does not station troops in the emirates (as it does in
neighboring Qatar) or base ships there (as it does in Bahrain, long the
home of the Fifth Fleet), American nuclear carriers routinely berth at
the Dubai port of Jebel Ali, since they are too large for Bahrain. The
U.S. Navy puts more sailors ashore for more liberty days a year at
Jebel Ali than at any other foreign port. The White House is selling
the UAE $9.4 billion worth of state-of-the-art air defense systems and
components, including the Patriot missile, E-2C aircraft upgrades, and
support equipment. The federation already owns and flies the world’s
most advanced versions of the F-16.
Internal threats loom as well. “They know they are just one bomb
away from seeing a lot of death and capital flight,” says Greg Gause
III, an expert on the Persian Gulf who teaches at the University of
Vermont. Two of the 19 men who staged the 9/11 attacks were UAE
nationals, after all. As a result, the UAE has invested heavily in
border control and quiet internal security. Nationals flying back home
slide smart ID cards through readers, punch in a PIN, have their irises
scanned, and are through security in less than a minute—if there’s no
problem. Last year, former White House counterterrorism coordinator
Richard Clarke reports in a soon-to-be-published book on how to improve
American security, this system helped the UAE catch more than 20,000
people trying to enter under assumed identities.
Rifts within the federation could also threaten stability. So far,
the competition between Abu Dhabi and Dubai has at worst produced some
overlapping or duplicative projects that both emirates can easily
afford. For instance, after Abu Dhabi invited 16 Nobel laureates and
150-odd intellectuals and journalists—including me—for a three-day
Festival of Thinkers at the government’s expense, Dubai responded with
its own Knowledge Conference to promote education.
But some analysts fear that this friendly rivalry could turn ugly.
In a forthcoming book, Davidson suggests that because Abu Dhabi and
Dubai have adopted different visions of their future, the UAE may break
apart. “Dubai is positioning itself to be a truly global entrepôt state
and feels constrained by Abu Dhabi’s caution,” he says. “Dubai is run
as a business that doesn’t need or want a military and other trappings
of a traditional state, whereas Abu Dhabi sees itself as an enlightened
but still traditional Arab country and the region’s cultural and
educational hub—a modern Arab Manhattan with Islam at its center and
where Arabic is still spoken.”
Eckart Woertz, of the Gulf Research Center,
a Dubai-based think tank, doubts that the federation will dissolve
anytime soon. But he argues that neither Abu Dhabi nor Dubai is likely
to produce a truly open, innovative society. “The liberal lifestyle
needed for that to develop organically does not exist here, given the
strong conservative traditions and the UAE’s proximity to Saudi Arabia,
where fundamentalist mind-sets are widespread,” he says. Moreover, he
argues, the UAE’s obsessive materialism will trump its devotion to
culture. “They are more about Ferrari, Gucci, and Prada than about
Einstein, Plato, or Nietzsche.”
Further, while the print press, broadcasters, and blogosphere are
freer here than in other Arab countries—Sheikh Mohammed of Dubai
recently announced that no journalists would be jailed for what they
wrote—films are still heavily censored. “Borat never made it to
the UAE,” Woertz notes. But self-censorship, critics agree, is by far
the greater challenge. One scholar summed up the unofficial taboos as
“the three Is”—Islam, Israel, and internal affairs. “How can you have an open, dynamic society when none of these can be debated?” he said.
To their supporters, however, Abu Dhabi and the rest of the UAE
offer the only plausible antidote to the spread of the Islamists’ grim
destructive militancy. “Who is more spectacular: Osama bin Laden, who
destroyed two towers? Or the UAE, which has built over a thousand?”
asked Jamil Mroue, a Lebanese journalist and a newcomer to Abu Dhabi,
as we gazed out at the tranquil gulf from his garden over Coke and
shish kebab one night last fall. “Whose road will the Arabs travel: the
one paved by MBZ”—Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed—“to conquer time? Or
Osama’s that seeks to reverse it?”
The UAE, he continues, is “not imposing anything on anyone else. It
has been plowing money into education and culture to nurture its own
organic flowering of ideas and possibilities. Okay, this is not a
democracy. There are no political parties, and its first election last
year was only for advisory posts. But there is plenty of time for
democracy—later. I would rather take my chances here than in the
wealthiest of Islamic republics.”