It was an unusually warm January day in Washington as President-elect
Barack Hussein Obama took the oath of office administered by longtime Supreme
Court Justice John Paul Stevens. Stevens already had administered the oath of
office to Vice President-elect Evan Bayh, of Indiana, who had been picked
by Obama because he was perceived to be a middle-of-the-road man. Recent
reporting has revealed that Bayh shares most of Obama’s radical views on
issues. The packed Capitol
Plaza waited with eager
anticipation as now President Obama was about to deliver a rhetorical
masterpiece, for which he had become famous.
Have trouble recalling how Obama had
bested Senator John Sidney McCain, III? Was it the Electoral College which
elected Obama or the popular vote or both? No one seems to remember.
No one seems to remember because there
was no election. It began with the presumptive nominee’s trip to the
Middle East and Europe. The Obama campaign
began referring to the candidate as if he already were President. That, while
politically risky, is certainly understandable. What is not understandable is
how many in the media went along with what the campaign fed them. They began to
treat the Senator from Illinois
as if he already had been elected President. These are media types who believe
that perception is reality. If they can convince the electorate that Senator
Obama already is President the election will become a mere formality. In fact,
the election is a sort of tolerated nuisance in their eyes.
It might have worked but for the contempt
the electorate has for the media. I saw at least half a dozen interviews on
cables over the air networks. In every case voters said, “He is behaving
as if he were already elected.” Most said, “That isn’t
right.” What shocked the reporters, who were stuck hanging around with McCain
as he campaigned in small-town America
while their anchors reported live from Obama’s trip, was how the voters
got it. A number identified themselves as Democrats. One even said he was an
Obama supporter. The tracking polls confirmed what these voters told the
reporters. The campaign believed this trip would give Obama a big bump,
putting Senator Obama permanently ahead in what has been up to now a
surprisingly tight race with Senator McCain. It didn’t turn out that way.
In every tracking poll Senator Obama actually lost support. He had opened a
six-point lead at the beginning of the trip. Depending on which tracking poll one
prefers, Obama’s lead decreased to either four, three or two points.
Individual states were even more dramatic. In no state did his support
increase. In some states where he had gone ahead substantially his support either
reversed the trend or is now behind. They include Colorado,
Minnesota and Michigan, among others.
There are lessons here for both campaigns
and the media. Campaigns must be respectful of the America voter. Campaigns which put
their candidate ahead of the candidate’s actual position run the risk of
appearing arrogant. It would take something cataclysmic for both Obama and
McCain not to receive their party’s nomination. Yet the voters want to
see that it really happens, in Denver and Minneapolis. Lesson for
the media? If the media has any chance to regain the credibility it has lost
with the American voter it ought to pounce on any campaign which markets its
candidate as if he already were President. The media which goes along with this
planned deception will hammer its own nails in its own coffin. Extremely partisan
voters might like it but the average citizen will be angered by media
partisanship.
You can bet that the Presidential
candidates’ handlers have watched what happened on this trip and I am
willing to wager that they will not repeat this mistake again. The real
question is: did the media learn the lesson of treating an un-nominated
candidate as if he already were elected? I am willing to wager the media has
not.