Russia's dispatch of long-range
bombers to Venezuela for joint military exercises may not signal the start of a
new Cold War, but it does provide more evidence that Hugo Chávez has become the
chief source of hemispheric instability. To be sure, the Venezuelan president
is increasingly unpopular in Latin America (and increasingly unpopular at
home), and his influence over regional politics is declining. But high oil
prices have given him the power to cause trouble and threaten U.S. interests.
Venezuela's announcement that it
will stage war games with Russian forces was at least partly a response to
American security policy. Earlier this year, the U.S. Navy reestablished its
Fourth Fleet, which had been disestablished way back in 1950. The Fourth Fleet
will oversee U.S. naval activities in Latin American and Caribbean waters. By
planning sophisticated military maneuvers with Russian warships, Chávez is
making a bold show of anti-Yankee defiance. (The Kremlin, of course, has its
own reasons for wanting to irritate Washington.)
His pockets bulging with oil wealth,
Chávez has spent billions of petrodollars on Russian weapons. He has also
reached out to Iran and cultivated warm bilateral relations. As the Los
Angeles Times recently reported, Western officials fear that the
Iranian-backed terrorist group Hezbollah "is using Venezuela as a base for
operations." One Western anti-terrorism official told the Times
that the Venezuela-Iran relationship is "becoming a strategic partnership."
In mid-June, the U.S. Treasury
Department designated two Venezuelans--a former Venezuelan diplomat (Ghazi Nasr
al Din) and a travel agency operator (Fawzi Kan'an)--as financial supporters of
Hezbollah and froze their assets. Adam J. Szubin, director of Treasury's Office
of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), charged the Venezuelan government with
"employing and providing safe harbor to Hezbollah facilitators and
fundraisers."
In its latest survey of global
terrorism, released this past April, the U.S. State Department noted that in
March 2007, "Iran and Venezuela began weekly Iran Airlines flights
connecting Tehran and Damascus with Caracas. Passengers on these flights were
not subject to immigration and customs controls at Simón Bolívar International
Airport." In June 2007, a man suspected of plotting to bomb New York's
John F. Kennedy International Airport "was arrested at the airport in Port
of Spain, Trinidad, on board a flight destined for Caracas, Venezuela. He had
an onward ticket to Tehran. Venezuelan citizenship, identity, and travel
documents remained easy to obtain, making Venezuela a potentially attractive
way station for terrorists."
Speaking of terrorists, Chávez's
links to the drug-running FARC terrorists of Colombia have recently become much
clearer. Several months ago, Colombian military forces launched a raid on FARC
combatants and wound up recovering computer files that detailed Venezuelan
efforts to arm and finance the left-wing guerrillas. Last week, shortly after
Venezuela expelled the U.S. ambassador in Caracas, Treasury froze the assets of
three Venezuelans--two top intelligence officials and a former government
minister--whom it accused of financing the FARC.
"Today's designation exposes
two senior Venezuelan government officials and one former official who armed,
abetted, and funded the FARC, even as it terrorized and kidnapped
innocents," said Szubin, the OFAC chief. One of those Venezuelans, former
interior and justice minister Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, allegedly tried "to
facilitate a $250 million dollar loan from the Venezuelan government to the
FARC in late 2007." FARC leaders are heavily involved in narcotics
trafficking. By supporting them, Venezuela is aiding a criminal network with
global connections.
As Venezuelan economist and Foreign
Policy editor Moisés Naím wrote in late 2007, Venezuela under Chávez
"has become a major hub for international crime syndicates. What attracts
them is not the local market; what they really love are the excellent
conditions Venezuela offers to anyone in charge of managing a global criminal
network." According to Naím, "A senior Dutch police officer told me
that he and his European colleagues are spending more time in Caracas than in
Bogotá, Colombia, and that the heads of many of the major criminal cartels now
operate with impunity, and effectiveness, from Venezuela." Earlier this
month, a Colombian drug kingpin named Edgar Vallejo Guarín was arrested in
Madrid. As Reuters reported, "Spanish police found Vallejo Guarín had used
Venezuelan documentation to obtain residency in Spain under the assumed
name of Jairo Gómez" (emphasis added). Chávez is not representative of the
broader Latin American left, and he is less powerful than he appears.
Nevertheless, his regime has become a menace to democracy and stability
throughout the region. Writing in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs,
former Mexican foreign minister Jorge Castañeda argues that certain regional
powers, such as Mexico and Colombia, have been reluctant to stand up to Chávez
because they "are terrified of being left hanging by Washington."
It is, alas, not an unreasonable
fear. The failure of Congress to approve a free trade deal with Colombia, the
closest and most important U.S. ally in South America, has had a profoundly
negative effect on U.S. credibility. Meanwhile, as Castañeda observes, the
recent U.S.-Mexican wrangling over a bilateral aid package (the Mérida
initiative) left Mexican president Felipe Calderón feeling
"embarrassed." "If anything," Castañeda writes, "the
incident made Calderón even more wary of waging the battle of ideas against
Chávez and the Castro brothers."
The lesson for John McCain and
Barack Obama is clear: The next U.S. president must unequivocally affirm
America's commitment to supporting and protecting its democratic partners in
Latin America. That means, among other things, pressing Congress to approve the
U.S.-Colombia free trade pact, aiding Mexico in its increasingly bloody war on
drugs, and deepening regional economic cooperation. In addition, the United
States must continue putting a financial squeeze on those Venezuelans (inside
and outside of government) who are funneling money to terrorist groups and
global crime networks.
Chávez often speaks and acts like a
buffoon; his rhetoric and antics can be utterly risible. Yet due to what
journalist Michael Reid (in his book Forgotten Continent) calls
"an accident of history"--the recent boom in oil prices--the
Venezuelan strongman cannot be ignored.