In early September, I began noticing a string of news stories about
scientists rejecting the orthodoxy on global warming. Actually, it was
more like a string of guest columns and long letters to the editor
since it is hard for skeptical scientists to get published in the cabal
of climate journals now controlled by the Great Sanhedrin of the
environmental movement.
Still, the number of climate change skeptics is growing rapidly.
Because a funny thing is happening to global temperatures -- they're
going down, not up.
On the same day (Sept. 5) that areas of southern Brazil were
recording one of their latest winter snowfalls ever and entering what
turned out to be their coldest September in a century, Brazilian
meteorologist Eugenio Hackbart explained that extreme cold or snowfall
events in his country have always been tied to "a negative PDO" or
Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Positive PDOs -- El Ninos -- produce
above-average temperatures in South America while negative ones -- La
Ninas -- produce below average ones.
Dr. Hackbart also pointed out that periods of solar inactivity known
as "solar minimums" magnify cold spells on his continent. So, given
that August was the first month since 1913 in which no sunspot activity
was recorded -- none -- and during which solar winds were at a 50-year
low, he was not surprised that Brazilians were suffering (for them) a
brutal cold snap. "This is no coincidence," he said as he scoffed at
the notion that manmade carbon emissions had more impact than the sun
and oceans on global climate.
Also in September, American Craig Loehle, a scientist who conducts
computer modelling on global climate change, confirmed his earlier
findings that the so-called Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of about 1,000
years ago did in fact exist and was even warmer than 20th-century
temperatures.
Prior to the past decade of climate hysteria and Kyoto hype, the MWP
was a given in the scientific community. Several hundred studies of
tree rings, lake and ocean floor sediment, ice cores and early written
records of weather -- even harvest totals and censuses --confirmed that
the period from 800 AD to 1300 AD was unusually warm, particularly in
Northern Europe.
But in order to prove the climate scaremongers' claim that
20th-century warming had been dangerous and unprecedented -- a result
of human, not natural factors -- the MWP had to be made to disappear.
So studies such as Michael Mann's "hockey stick," in which there is no
MWP and global temperatures rise gradually until they jump up in the
industrial age, have been adopted by the UN as proof that recent
climate change necessitates a reordering of human economies and
societies.
Dr. Loehle's work helps end this deception.
Don Easterbrook, a geologist at Western Washington University, says,
"It's practically a slam dunk that we are in for about 30 years of
global cooling," as the sun enters a particularly inactive phase. His
examination of warming and cooling trends over the past four centuries
shows an "almost exact correlation" between climate fluctuations and
solar energy received on Earth, while showing almost "no correlation at
all with CO2."
An analytical chemist who works in spectroscopy and atmospheric
sensing, Michael J. Myers of Hilton Head, S. C., declared, "Man-made
global warming is junk science," explaining that worldwide manmade CO2
emission each year "equals about 0.0168% of the atmosphere's CO2
concentration ... This results in a 0.00064% increase in the absorption
of the sun's radiation. This is an insignificantly small number."
Other international scientists have called the manmade warming theory a "hoax," a "fraud" and simply "not credible."
While not stooping to such name-calling, weather-satellite
scientists David Douglass of the University of Rochester and John
Christy of the University of Alabama at Huntsville nonetheless dealt
the True Believers a devastating blow last month.
For nearly 30 years, Professor Christy has been in charge of NASA's
eight weather satellites that take more than 300,000 temperature
readings daily around the globe. In a paper co-written with Dr.
Douglass, he concludes that while manmade emissions may be having a
slight impact, "variations in global temperatures since 1978 ... cannot
be attributed to carbon dioxide."
Moreover, while the chart below was not produced by Douglass and
Christy, it was produced using their data and it clearly shows that in
the past four years -- the period corresponding to reduced solar
activity -- all of the rise in global temperatures since 1979 has
disappeared.
It may be that more global warming doubters are surfacing because there just isn't any global warming.